A Pull-Back is a move where the
market interrupts the prevailing bullish trend, or retraces from a breakout,
but does not retrace beyond the start of the trend or the beginning of the
breakout. A pull-back which declines further to the beginning of the trend or
the breakout would instead become a reversal or a breakout failure and becomes a Correction when the decline exceeds 10%
and a Bear Market when the decline
exceeds 20%.
DISTRIBUTION: Distribution is indicated by one or
more of the major market indexes decline on increased volume from the previous
day. Churning in the market indexes is also a sign of distribution. This occurs
when a day's attempted advance stalls (shows very little change in price) on
greater volume than the day before.
BEAR MARKET CONFIRMATION: Four days of distribution, if correctly
spotted over a two or three week period are often enough to turn a previous
advancing market into a decline. The beginnings of a bear market usually follow
a "test" of the previous bull market high on low volume followed by
sharp declines on high volume. The confirmation date of a bear market is the
date prices on both the DOW and TRANSPORTS break below the low point of the
last bull market correction and continue to move downward.
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